Francesca Jones vs Mia Ristic Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Jones has a slightly lower second serve win percentage compared to Ristic, with 37.57% versus 38.36% over the past six months. Could this small edge in second serve performance give Ristic a crucial advantage?
• Jones excels in return games, winning 55.83% of second serve points against opponents, while Ristic's performance is at 48.21%. For first serve returns, Jones slightly outperforms Ristic with 30.35% to 29.17%.
• Under pressure, Ristic saves 50.38% of breakpoints, marginally better than Jones at 48.85%. Could Ristic's composure in challenging moments swing the match in their favor?
• In terms of match outcomes over the last year, Jones boasts a higher win rate of 67.86%, significantly ahead of Ristic's 55.07%.
• Jones shows a strong preference for Clay surfaces with a 69% career win rate, whereas Ristic is most successful on Hard courts with a 68% win rate.
• When it comes to tournament level experience, Jones has a better performance in Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 71.05% of matches, while Ristic has a win rate of 54.84%.
• Jones has faced stronger competition over the last 12 months, playing against opponents with an average rank of 225.96, compared to Ristic's average opponent rank of 347.93.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Ristic has a marginally better win percentage at 45%, compared to Jones' 44%.
• Ristic shows superior ability in breaking serve, converting 42.06% of breakpoint opportunities, compared to Jones' 34.07%.

Editorial Prediction (May 9, 2025, UTC):

Based on recent form, both Jones and Ristic have strengths that could influence the match outcome. Ristic's slight advantage in second serve performance and breakpoint saving ability might offer critical leverage.

However, Jones shows stronger return game statistics and a superior match win percentage over the past year. This suggests that Jones can potentially counter Ristic’s serve effectively.

Given these considerations, along with Jones’ stronger performance against tougher opponents and higher percentage of wins in recent competitions, Jones appears to be the more likely victor in this contest. Therefore, I would predict Jones to win this upcoming tennis match.